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Understanding the Impact of the Iran Conflict on ECB Monetary Policy
Geopolitical tensions like the Iran war raise inflation risks, influencing ECB's interest rate decisions and market responses.
Understanding ECB Rate Commentary and Market Implications
ECB's Madis Müller hints at potential April rate changes. Inflation and market responses may shape future monetary policy.
Assessing the Impact of the Gulf War's Aftermath on Military Action Predictions
The Gulf War's aftermath sees a $58 billion repair bill and declining odds for military action against Iran as peace seems more likely.
Strait of Hormuz Closure May Boost Oil Prices Significantly
The Strait of Hormuz closure threatens oil prices, with a 75% chance crude hits $90 by June 30 due to reduced tanker traffic.
Analysis of Russia's Potential Offensive in Donbas and Its Market Implications
Russia's military escalation in Donbas raises concerns over ceasefire chances, impacting market sentiments and investor strategies.
Understanding Market Reactions to US-Iran War Probabilities
The Polymarket shows a 7.5% chance of a US declaration of war on Iran by year-end, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Impact of Russian Threats on Potential Ceasefire Between Russia and Ukraine
Medvedev's threats complicate diplomacy as the likelihood of a ceasefire in Ukraine decreases to 5.9%. Watch for shifts in market sentiment.
Ceasefire Creates New Market Dynamics in Lebanon
Lebanese civilians are crossing repaired bridges amid a ceasefire, raising market confidence in a suspension of Israel's offensive by April 30.
Rumen Radev’s Odds Soar Ahead of Bulgaria’s Parliamentary Elections
Rumen Radev's chances of becoming Bulgaria's Prime Minister rise to 93.9% ahead of elections, driven by party support and market dynamics.
U.S. Strategy in Disarming Hezbollah: Market Impacts and Risks
The U.S. is intensifying its efforts to disarm Hezbollah, driving market optimism for a ceasefire with significant implications.
Declining Bitcoin Miner Reserves Increase Sell Pressure Ahead of Price Dip
A significant decline in Bitcoin miner reserves raises concerns over price dips with a potential fall to $60,000 by month-end.
Spain's Military Stance Affects Crude Oil Market Dynamics
Spain's refusal to aid the US military shifts oil markets, increasing the likelihood of $90 crude by June 30 to 48%. Traders brace for supply disruptions.
Chinese Cargo Planes in Iran: Market Implications and Investor Insights
Unconfirmed reports of Chinese cargo planes in Iran could impact Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization and US-China relations.
Significance of Lebanon's Demilitarization Push on Market Dynamics
Lebanon's demilitarization push impacts market dynamics, especially for Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire contracts with strong probabilities.
Goldman Sachs Files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF Amidst Strong Market Confidence
Goldman Sachs has filed for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, showing confidence as traders predict Bitcoin will remain above $62,000.
Understanding the Impact of the Iran Conflict on European Leveraged Finance and ECB Rate Cuts
European leveraged finance is at risk due to the Iran conflict, raising concerns over inflation and ECB policies.